Sunday, January 10, 2010

bdj610's 1997 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

The holidays are finally over, and I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 1997 End of Year All-Star Teams. And for the second year in a row, the NL wins the seven game series. Will this translate to a victory in the one game All-Star Game???

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: AL vs. NL, Roger Clemens vs. Greg Maddux. The AL wins 5,219 games out of 10,000 simulations.
  • Game 2: AL vs. NL, Brad Radke vs. Denny Neagle. The NL wins 5,262 games.
  • Game 3: NL vs. AL, Shawn Estes vs. Andy Pettitte. The AL wins 5,858 games (using a DH).
  • Game 4: NL vs, AL, Pedro Martinez vs. Randy Johnson. The NL wins 5,079 games (using a DH). Closest series of the seven. Back and forth lead changes between the two sides, and sixteen no-hitters between the two pitchers.
  • Game 5: NL vs. AL, Darryl Kile vs. Jamie Moyer. The NL wins 5,111 games (using a DH).
  • Game 6: AL vs. NL, Pat Hentgen vs. Curt Schilling. The NL wins 5,569 games.
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The NL wins 5,138 games.
So the NL wins the seven game series 5-2, including the ever important "anything goes" series. This seventh series seems to be a good indicator as to who wins the big one. Will this mean a win in the ASG?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Clemens and Maddux and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game), and there was only one double switch per side done this year (after figuring out how to do it properly!!!)

The starting lineups, first for the American League (I'm using 1998 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to imagine my All-Star teams):

Now the National League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

In what seems to be foreshadowing actual events, the 1997 AL All-Stars beat the 1997 NL All-Stars by a final score of 6-5 thanks to a ninth-inning comeback against a pitcher who would eventually become one of the most dominant in ML history.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.

The scoring plays were like this:

Top 2: Greg Maddux pitching. Albert Belle singles. Manny Ramirez flies out to Barry Bonds (7). Cal Ripken doubles, Belle advancing to third. Ivan Rodriguez grounds out to Jeff Kent (4-3), Belle scores, Ripken advancing to third. With Roger Clemens at bat, on a passed ball by Mike Piazza, Cal Ripken scores.

Top 3: Denny Neagle pitching. Roberto Alomar grounds out to Jeff Bagwell (3UP). Frank Thomas singles. Ken Griffey reaches on an error by Kent (E4), Thomas advancing to second. Albert Belle doubles, Thomas scores, Griffey thrown out at home trying to score (7-2).

Bottom 3: Brad Radke pitching. Chipper Jones singles. Denny Neagle strikes out. Barry Larkin singles, Jones advancing to third. Jeff Bagwell triples, Jones scores, Larkin scores. Sammy Sosa grounds out to Derek Jeter (6-3), Bagwell scores.

Bottom 5: Randy Johnson pitching. Vinny Castilla singles. Pedro Martinez walks, Castilla advancing to second. Mark Grudzielanek reaches on an error by Chuck Knoblauch (E4), Castilla advancing to third, Martinez advancing to second. Andres Galarraga strikes out. Larry Walker doubles, Castilla scores, Martinez scores, Grudzielanek thrown out at home trying to score (7-2).

Top 6: Darryl Kile pitching. Rusty Greer doubles. Paul O'Neill walks. Jeff Cirillo walks, Greer advancing to third, O'Neill advancing to second. Sandy Alomar singles, Greer scores.

Top 7: Jeff Shaw pitching. Chuck Knoblauch reaches first base and advances to second on an error by Moises Alou (E7). Tino Martinez strikes out. Jeromy Burnitz doubles, Knoblauch scores.

Top 9: Trevor Hoffman pitching. Omar Vizquel singles, advances to second on an error by Moises Alou (E7). Damion Easely walks. Mo Vaughn walks, Vizquel advancing to third, Easely advancing to second. Juan Gonzalez strikes out. Matt Stairs singles, Vizquel scores.

The MVP for the 1997 All-Star Game is Matt Stairs.

If this game actually existed, the MVP would have been Matt Stairs (1-1, game winning RBI). Doug Jones gets the win, Trevor Hoffman takes the loss, and Randy Myers earns the save. The only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Jamie Moyer and Mariano Rivera from the AL and Rod Beck and Curt Schilling from the NL.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at Below is the AL .DAT file, then the NL .DAT file:

Now that the 1997 All-Star Games are officially over, on Monday, I will introduce the 1998 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come by next Sunday.


JayBee Anama

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