Monday, January 18, 2010

bdj610's 1998 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 1998 End of Year All-Star Teams. And once again, streaks were snapped this time around as the 1998 American League All-Stars took the seven game series 4-3 over their National League counterparts. Will this mean a win for the AL in the one-game ASG? Stay tuned.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: NL vs. AL, Tom Glavine vs. Roger Clemens. The AL wins 5,793 games out of 10,000 simulations (using a DH).
  • Game 2: NL vs. AL, Greg Maddux vs. Pedro Martinez. The NL wins 5,233 games (using a DH).
  • Game 3: AL vs. NL, Rick Helling vs. Shane Reynolds. The AL wins 5,416 games.
  • Game 4: AL vs, NL, Aaron Sele vs. Kevin Brown. The NL wins 6,587 games.
  • Game 5: AL vs. NL, David Cone vs. Kevin Tapani. The AL wins 6,382 games (maybe I should have had Sele take on Tapani here...Ouch on both series!!!).
  • Game 6: NL vs. AL, David Wells vs. Curt Schilling. The NL wins 5,091 games (using a DH, closest series, lots of lead changes, definitely could have gone either way).
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The AL wins 5,329 games (using a DH).
In twelve years worth of series, the AL has a 7-5 lead. They snap a two series losing streak, and even win the ever important "anything goes" series. But they NL presently have a 6-5 lead in the one-game ASG. This seventh series seems to be a good indicator as to who wins the big one. Does this mean good luck for the junior circuit?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Glavine and Clemens and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game). The DH's (Tony Gwynn of the NL and Shawn Green of the AL) were never replaced.

The starting lineups, first for the National League (I'm using 1999 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to represent the players on my All-Star teams):

Now the American League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

The 1998 NL All-Stars beat the 1998 AL All-Stars by a final score of 6-3 in what turned out to be another home run showcase, this time for the National Leaguers.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.

The scoring plays were as follows:

Bottom 2: Glavine pitching. Cal Ripken singles. Shawn Green flies out to Sammy Sosa (8). Ivan Rodriguez is hit by a pitch, goes to first base, Ripken advances to second. Chuck Knoblauch flies out to Barry Bonds (7). Kenny Lofton singles, Cal Ripken scoring, IRodriguez advances to third.

Top 3: Pedro Martinez pitching. Chipper Jones advances to second base on an error by Kenny Lofton (E8). Barry Larkin hits a home run, Jones scoring.

Top 4: Aaron Sele pitching. Barry Bonds grounds out to Sele (1-3). Mike Piazza hits a home run.

Bottom 5: Kevin Brown pitching. Albert Belle reaches first on an error by Javy Lopez (E2). Mo Vaughn singles, Belle advances to third. Manny Ramirez strikes out. Wade Boggs reaches on an error by Jay Bell (E6), Belle scores. Shawn Green singles, Vaughn scoring.

Top 7: Mike Jackson pithcing. Javy Lopez grounds out to Roberto Alomar (4-3). Vladimir Guerrero flies out to Paul O'Neill (9). Vinny Castilla hits a home run.

Top 8: Troy Percival pitching. Greg Vaughn singles. Mark Grace hits a home run, Vaughn scoring.

Your starters, Tom Glavine and Roger Clemens. Vinny Castilla is the MVP.

So on the strength of four home runs (Larkin, Piazza, Castilla, and Grace), the NL powers their way to victory. If this game actually existed, the MVP award would have gone to Vinny Castilla (1-1, 1 hr, 1 rbi). Curt Schilling takes the win, Mike Jackson gets the loss, Trevor Hoffman gets the save, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Jeff Shaw & Kevin Tapani from the NL and Tom Gordon & David Wells from the AL.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at Below is the NL .DAT file, then the AL .DAT file:

Now that the 1998 All-Star Games are officially over, at 9:00 AM CST on Tuesday, I will introduce the 1999 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come hopefully by Sunday night.


JayBee Anama

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