Wednesday, January 27, 2010

bdj610's 1999 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 1999 End of Year All-Star Teams. In this simulation, it was the power hitters of the National League vs. the power pitchers of the American League. Who would prevail? Keep on reading below.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: AL vs. NL, Pedro Martinez vs. Randy Johnson. The AL wins 6,255 games out of 10,000 simulations. This series featured Pedro facing a lineup including Larry Walker, Sammy Sosa, Mark McGwire, and Barry Bonds. Pedro had 29 games where he struck out 20 batters OR MORE (22 three times), and pitched 17 no hitters. Most dominant pitching performance ever!!!
  • Game 2: AL vs. NL, Bartolo Colon vs. Mike Hampton. The NL wins 5,988 games.
  • Game 3: NL vs. AL, Mike Mussina vs. Jose Lima. The AL wins 5,010 games (using a DH). Closest series...EVER!!!
  • Game 4: NL vs, AL, Greg Maddux vs. Aaron Sele. The NL wins 5,277 games (using a DH).
  • Game 5: NL vs. AL, Kevin Millwood vs. Orlando Hernandez. The NL wins 5,959 games (using a DH).
  • Game 6: AL vs. NL, Curt Schilling vs. David Wells. The NL wins 5,705 games.
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The NL wins 5,539 games.
So the NL wins the seven game series 5-2, including the ever important "anything goes" series. This seventh series seems to be a good indicator as to who wins the big one. Will this mean a win in the ASG?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Martinez and Johnson and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game), and double switches were performed on both sides this year (after figuring out how to do it properly!!!)

The starting lineups, first for the American League (I'm using 2000 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to imagine my All-Star teams):

Now the National League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

The 1999 NL All-Stars blank the 1999 AL All-Stars by a final score of 9-0, on the heels of four home runs.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.

The scoring plays were like this:

Bottom 1: Pedro Martinez pitching. Barry Larkin singles. Larry Walker strikes out. Sammy Sosa strikes out. Mark McGwire hits a home run, Larkin scores.

Bottom 2: Pedro Martinez pitching. Matt Williams draws a walk. Jeff Kent singles, Williams advancing to third. Randy Johnson grounds into a double play (GDP 6-4-3), Williams scores, Kent out on the force play (6-4).

Bottom 3: Bartolo Colon pitching. Larry Walker strikes out. Sammy Sosa hits a home run. Mark McGwire hits a home run.

Bottom 4: Aaron Sele pitching. Craig Biggio draws a walk. Chipper Jones strikes out. Mark Grudzielanek singles, Biggio advancing to second. Tony Gwynn singles, Biggio scores, Grudzielanek advancing to third. Brian Giles singles, Grudzielanek scores.

Bottom 6: Mike Jackson pitching. Mark Grudzielanek is hit by a pitch. Tony Gwynn pops out to Damion Easely (4). Brian Giles pops out to Jason Giambi (3). Jeff Bagwell hits a home run, Grudzielanek scores.

The MVP for the 1999 All-Star Game is Mike McGwire.

If this game actually existed, the MVP would have been Mike McGwire (2-2, two home runs, 3 rbi's). Mike Hampton picks up the win, even though it should have been awarded to Randy Johnson (must be recognizing that five inning rule for a win). Pedro Martinez takes the loss, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Orlando Hernandez and Roberto Hernandez (no relation) from the AL and John Rocker and Curt Schilling from the NL. One goof on my part...I had Greg Maddux ready to pitch the fourth inning, but inadvertently removed him from the game before he could even take a pitch, leaving Kevin Millwood to pitch two innings as I didn't have any pitchers warmed up.

As of right now, the AL has a 7-6 lead in series play, but the NL has a 8-5 record in the one-game All-Star Game.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at Below is the AL .DAT file, then the NL .DAT file:

Now that the 1999 All-Star Games are officially over, on Thursday, I will introduce the 2000 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come by next Sunday.


JayBee Anama

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