Sunday, February 21, 2010

bdj610's 2001 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 2001 End of Year All-Star Teams. Featuring a number of players who would dominate the headlines in the first decade of the new millennium, who would prevail? Keep on reading below.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: AL vs. NL, Roger Clemens vs. Randy Johnson. The NL wins 6,203 games out of 10,000 simulations. As in previous series featuring Johnson, many 20-strikeout performances (11), and many no hitters (10). This series included a game where he struck out 23 batters.
  • Game 2: AL vs. NL, Mark Mulder vs. Curt Schilling. The AL wins 5,214 games.
  • Game 3: NL vs. AL, Matt Morris vs. Jamie Moyer. The AL wins 5,202 games (using a DH).
  • Game 4: NL vs, AL, Jon Lieber vs. Freddy Garcia. The AL wins 6,016 games (using a DH).
  • Game 5: NL vs. AL, Greg Maddux vs. C. C. Sabathia. The NL wins 6,043 games (using a DH).
  • Game 6: AL vs. NL, Joe Mays vs. Russ Ortiz. The NL wins 5,770 games.
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The NL wins 5,313 games.
So the NL wins the seven game series 4-3, coming back from a 3-1 deficit. And they win the ever important "anything goes" series. We've seen how important this seventh series seems to be when predicting a winner in the one game ASG. Will this mean a win for the NL?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Clemens and Johnson and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. Due to a bit of a glitch, (me forgetting to replace the defense in the seventh inning), pinch hitters are used in the bottom of the seventh, slowly inserting the third defensive unit into the game. Double switches were performed on both sides when the case allowed it.

The starting lineups, first for the American League (I'm using 2002 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to imagine my All-Star teams):

Now the National League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

The 2001 NL All-Stars blank the 2001 AL All-Stars by a final score of 4-0. The game was dominated by the pitching squads on both sides, but the NL squad takes the game, due in large part of a Roger Clemens meltdown in the first.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look).

The scoring plays were like this:

Bottom 1: Roger Clemens pitching. Rich Aurelia doubles. Jeff Kent strikes out. Barry Bonds walks. Sammy Sosa walks, Aurelia advancing to third, Bonds advancing to second. Luis Gonzalez grounds into a fielders choice (4-6), Aurelia scores, Sosa out at second base, Gonzalez safe at first. Chipper Jones hits a double, Bond scores, Gonzalez scores.

Bottom 5: Freddy Garcia pitching. Gary Sheffield draws a walk, advances to second on a wild pitch. Vladimir Guerrero flies out to Mike Cameron (8), Sheffield advancing to third. Lance Berkman singles, Sheffield scores.

The MVP for the 2001 All-Star Game is Randy Johnson.

If this game actually existed, the MVP would have been Randy Johnson (2 innings, five strikeouts). Curt Schilling picks up the win, even though it should have been awarded to Johnson (the simulations does take into account the five inning rule for a win). Roger Clemens takes the loss, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Joe Mays, Mariano Rivera, and Kazuhiro Sasaki from the AL and Kyle Farnsworth, Jon Lieber, and Trevor Hoffman.

In fifteen All-Star Series, the AL has a 8-7 lead in series play, but the NL has a 9-6 record in the one-game All-Star Game.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at Below is the AL .DAT file, then the NL .DAT file:

Now that the 2001 All-Star Games are officially over, on Monday, I will introduce the 2002 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come by next Sunday.


JayBee Anama

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