Monday, December 7, 2009

bdj610's 1993 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 1993 End of Year All-Star Teams. Of the seven years worth of seasons that I have been doing this, if there ever were a pair of teams so evenly matched, the two teams that comprise my 1993 AL and NL teams would be it.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: AL vs. NL, Jack McDowell vs. John Burkett. The NL wins 5,687 games out of 10,000 simulations.
  • Game 2: AL vs. NL, Randy Johnson vs. Tom Glavine. The AL wins 5,426 games.
  • Game 3: NL vs. AL, Bill Swift vs. Kevin Appier. The AL wins 5,305 games (using a DH).
  • Game 4: NL vs, AL, Mark Portugal vs. Jimmy Key. The AL wins 5,018 games (using a DH). In this series, the NL had a 100 game lead, and eventually lost it. By the 9,000th game, each team had won 4,500 and it was back and forth until all games were counted.
  • Game 5: NL vs. AL, Bob Tewksbury vs. Pat Hentgen. The NL wins 6,248 games (using a DH).
  • Game 6: AL vs. NL, Mark Langston vs. Andy Benes. The AL wins 5,317 games.
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The NL wins 5,155 games.
Yes, the AL wins the seven game series 4-3. But the NL wins the ever important "anything goes" series. Will this hold up for the one game ASG?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were McDowell and Burkett and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game), and there was only one double switch.

The starting lineups, first for the American League (I'm using 1994 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to imagine my All-Star teams):

Now the National League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

The 1993 NL All-Stars beat the 1993 AL All-Stars by a final score of 6-2.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.

The scoring plays were like this:

Bottom 2: Jack McDowell pitching. Darren Daulton grounds out to Cal Ripken (6-3). Gary Sheffield flies out to Kirby Puckett. Barry Larkin doubles. John Burkett singles, Larkin advancing to third. Marquis Grissom hits a home run, Larkin scoring, Burkett scoring.

Top 3: Tom Glavine pitching. Ivan Rodriguez doubles. Jack McDowell doubles, Rodriguez scoring.

Bottom 3: Randy Johnson pitching. John Kruk hits a home run. David Justice triples. Darren Daulton strikes out. Gary Sheffield hits a home run, Justice scoring.

Top 7: Bryan Harvey pitching. Ruben Sierra triples. Travis Fryman grounds out to Jeff Blauser (6-3), Sierra scoring.

Starting pitcher John Burkett gets the MVP award not only because he pitched two scoreless innings but for his 1-1 performance at the plate.

If this game actually existed, the MVP would have been John Burkett (1-1, run scored, 2 inning pitched, no hits, no runs, one strikeout). He becomes the first pitcher to win the All-Star Game MVP award. He technically should have gotten the win too, but the fact that he didn't pitch five innings made the simulation award the win to Tom Glavine. McDowell takes the loss, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Mark Langston, Jeff Montgomery, and Duane Ward from the AL and Andy Benes & John Wetteland .

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at Below is the AL .DAT file, then the NL .DAT file:

Now that the 1993 All-Star Games are officially over, on Tuesday, I will introduce the 1994 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come by Sunday night for a Monday morning recap.


JayBee Anama

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I like the '94 card design, but I was out of collecting by the time they hit stores. The photography looks pretty good based on the starting lineups for your All-Star teams.