As always, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.
The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:
- Game 1: NL vs. AL, Greg Maddux vs. Jimmy Key. The NL wins 6,837 games out of 10,000 simulations (using a DH).
- Game 2: NL vs. AL, Ken Hill vs. David Cone. The AL wins 6,582 games (using a DH).
- Game 3: AL vs. NL, Mike Mussina vs. Bret Saberhagen. The NL wins 5,575 games.
- Game 4: AL vs, NL, Randy Johnson vs. Tom Glavine. The AL wins 6,235 games. To show how dominant Johnson was against the NL in this series, not only did he pitch 14 no-hitters, but he had one game in which he struck out 20 batters and another game striking out 21.
- Game 5: AL vs. NL, Pat Hentgen vs. Danny Jackson. The AL wins 5,139 games. Bobby Ayala struck out 21 batters in a game during this series as well. Must be something in the air in Seattle.
- Game 6: NL vs. AL, Doug Drabek vs. Ricky Bones. The NL wins 5,339 games (using a DH).
- Game 7: NL vs. AL, anything goes. The AL wins 5,406 games (using a DH) in a very close series.
For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Maddux and Key and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game). The DH's (Kevin Mitchell of the NL and Paul Molitor of the AL) were never replaced.
The starting lineups, first for the National League (I'm using 1995 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to represent the players on my All-Star teams):
Now the American League starting lineup:
Here is the result:
The 1994 AL All-Stars mount a comeback in the late innings to beat the 1994 NL All-Stars by a final score of 8-7.
The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.
The scoring plays were as follows:
Top 3: Randy Johnson pitching. Ozzie Smith flies out to Joe Carter (9). Craig Biggio singles. Tony Gwynn strikes out. Barry Bonds hits a home run, Biggio scoring. Kevin Mitchell hits a home run.
Bottom 4: Ken Hill pitching. Travis Fryman hits a home run.
Top 6: Mike Mussina pitching. Kevin Mitchell walks. Ken Caminiti strikes out. Joe Girardi flies out to Albert Belle (7). Sammy Sosa hits a home run, Mitchell scoring.
Bottom 6: Danny Jackson pitching. Carlos Baerga reaches first on an error by Barry Larkin (E6). Travis Fryman singles, Baerga advances to second. Albert Belle walks, Baerga advances to third, Fryman advances to second. Will Clark singles, Baerga scoring, Fryman advances to third, Belle advances to second. Kenny Lofton walks, Fryman scoring, Belle advances to third, Clark advances to second. Paul O'Neill strikes out. Paul Molitor singles, Belle scoring, Clark advances to third, Lofton advances to second. Randy Myers pitching. Felix Fermin reaches first on a fielders choice to Bip Roberts (FC), Clark scoring, Lofton advances to third, Molitor out at second (4-6).
Top 7: Bobby Ayala pitching. Barry Larkin walks. Bip Roberts is hit by a pitch, goes to first, Larkin advances to second. Marquis Grissom strikes out. Moises Alou reaches first on an error by Bobby Ayala, Larkin advances to third, Roberts advances to second. Kevin Mitchell reaches first on a throwing error by Omar Vizquel, Larkin scoring, Roberts scoring, Alou advances to third.
Bottom 8: John Wetteland pitching. Mo Vaughn strikes out. Tim Salmon singles. Ruben Sierra singles, Salmon advances to second. Paul Molitor grounds out to Wil Cordero (6-3), Salmon advances to third, Sierra advances to second. Omar Vizquel singles, Salmon scoring, Sierra advances to third. Doug Jones pitching. Mickey Tettleton singles, Sierra scoring, Vizquel advances to second.
Bottom 9: Rod Beck pitching. Scott Cooper singles. On passed ball by Darrin Fletcher, Cooper advances to second. Chili Davis singles, Cooper advances to third. Mo Vaughn strikes out. Tim Salmon strikes out. Ruben Sierra doubles, Scott Cooper scoring.
So the American League snaps their two game losing streak to the National League. The National League brought the power (thanks to two-run homers by Bonds and Sosa), but the AL takes the win on a double. And although Sierra does get the game winning hit, if this game actually existed, the MVP award would have gone to Travis Fryman (2-2, 1 hr, 1 rbi). Lee Smith takes the win, Rod Beck gets the loss, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Doug Drabek from the NL and Ricky Bones & Jeff Montgomery from the AL.
If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at firstname.lastname@example.org. Below is the NL .DAT file, then the AL .DAT file:
Now that the 1994 All-Star Games are officially over, at noon on Tuesday, I will introduce the 1995 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come hopefully by Sunday night.
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