Tuesday, December 22, 2009

bdj610's 1995 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 1995 End of Year All-Star Teams. And for the fifth straight season, the 1995 American League All-Stars wins the seven game series 4-3 over the 1995 National League All-Stars. But somehow, in the one game where it matters most, the National League pulls out the victory. This is the third year in four that the NL loses the series but wins the All-Star Game.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: AL vs. NL, Randy Johnson vs. Greg Maddux. The NL wins 5,892 games out of 10,000 simulations.
  • Game 2: AL vs. NL, Mike Mussina vs. Pete Schourek. The AL wins 5,718 games.
  • Game 3: NL vs. AL, Ramon Martinez vs. Kenny Rogers. The AL wins 5,859 games (using a DH).
  • Game 4: NL vs, AL, Tom Glavine vs. David Cone. The AL wins 5,517 games (using a DH).
  • Game 5: NL vs. AL, Hideo Nomo vs. Orel Hershiser. The NL wins 5,207 games (using a DH).
  • Game 6: AL vs. NL, Tim Wakefield vs. Jaime Navarro. The AL wins 5,207 games.
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The NL wins 5,020 games. This was the first time I can say that the lead went back and forth between the two teams until the NL pulled away after the 5000th game.
So once again, the AL wins the seven game series 4-3. But the NL wins the ever important "anything goes" series. This seventh series seems to be a good indicator as to who wins the big one.

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Johnson and Maddux and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game), and there was only one double switch.

The starting lineups, first for the American League (I'm using 1996 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to imagine my All-Star teams):

Now the National League starting lineup:

Here is the result:

The 1995 NL All-Stars beat the 1995 AL All-Stars by a final score of 3-1.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.

The scoring plays were like this:

Bottom 2: Randy Johnson pitching. Mike Piazza strikes out. Fred McGriff hits a home run.

Top 5: Ramon Martinez pitching. Paul O'Neill doubles. Manny Ramirez walks, Gary DiSarcina singles, O'Neill advancing to third, Ramirez advancing to second. Terry Steinbach hits into a double play (6-4-3), Paul O'Neill scores, Ramirez advancing to third, DiSarcina out on the force (6-4).

Bottom 6: Jeff Montgomery pitching. Pete Schourek grounds out to Roberto Alomar (4-3). Bret Boone singles. Sammy Sosa hits a home run, Boone scoring.

The MVP for the 1995 All-Star Game is Sammy Sosa.

If this game actually existed, the MVP would have been Sammy Sosa (1-2, HR, 2 RBI's). At this time, Sosa was more the 30-30 speed demon than the "Slammin' Sammy" we all knew in the late 90's - early 2000's. Pete Schourek gets the win, Jeff Montgomery takes the loss, Randy Myers earns the well deserved save, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Jose Mesa, Lee Smith, and Tim Wakefield from the AL and Tom Henke and Jaime Navarro from the NL.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at bdj610@hotmail.com. Below is the AL .DAT file, then the NL .DAT file:

Now that the 1995 All-Star Games are officially over, on Wednesday, I will introduce the 1996 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come by Sunday night for a Monday morning recap.


JayBee Anama


Anonymous said...

Who is this guy Maurice and why is he leaving this (Same) message on all the Sports Cards Blogs.

Anonymous said...

Mauricio - sorry

TDLindgren said...

I really like the 1996 set. Great pictures, clean card design, it's one of the better issue for Topps in the past 20 years in my opinion. Plus this set propelled me back into the Hobby with the Mantle reprints!