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Tuesday, February 9, 2010

bdj610's 2000 End of Year All-Star Teams Simulated Games Results

I have finally finished simulating the All-Star Games using my 2000 End of Year All-Star Teams. For those wondering why it's taken so long to get this post up...let's just say my computer has been down, and scanning the cards and actual game information has been impossible. The computer is now fixed, and I'm ready to go. Fortunately, my "Random Topps Card of the Day" posts are set up ahead of time, so you the readers haven't had to miss a day. Well, until this afternoon anyway. But enough of that.

Anyway, after the 1999 blowout by the National League, the 2000 American League All-Star Team pulls through with another 4-3 series win over their 2000 NL rivals. Does this mean they'll break through and win the ASG? Stay tuned.

As previously stated, I simulated seven games (six series between starters, and one series where the lineups, starting rotations changed on a daily basis), by playing each one 10,000 times.

The first six games I simulated used each starting pitcher on both sides at least once, and all position players started a minimum of two games each. Here are the results:

  • Game 1: NL vs. AL, Tom Glavine vs. Roger Clemens. The NL wins 5,063 games out of 10,000 simulations (using a DH). Lots of hitting highlights, and by the time all 10,000 games were played, the average runs on both sides were 10.4...per team!!!
  • Game 2: NL vs. AL, Darryl Kile vs. Tim Hudson. The AL wins 5,451 games (using a DH).
  • Game 3: AL vs. NL, David Wells vs. Randy Johnson. The NL wins 6,350 games.
  • Game 4: AL vs, NL, Pedro Martinez vs. Greg Maddux. The AL wins 6,455 games. Again, Pedro was dominant. Twenty no hitters and 13 games where he struck out 20 or more (21 three times).
  • Game 5: AL vs. NL, Bartolo Colon vs. Al Leiter. The NL wins 5,306 games.
  • Game 6: NL vs. AL, Mike Hampton vs. Mike Mussina. The AL wins 5,559 games (using a DH, which is why even though Mussina had a losing record, he made the team anyway).
  • Game 7: AL vs. NL, anything goes. The AL wins 5,355 games (using a DH).
The American League wins the series, and the ever important "anything goes" series. And the AL is now 8-6 in the seven game series. But the NL presently have a 8-5 lead in the one-game ASG. This seventh series seems to be a good indicator as to who wins the big one. Does this mean good luck for the junior circuit?

For the official All-Star Game, I decided to just simulate one game and one game only. The starting pitchers were Glavine and Clemens and I let them pitch two innings (unless they struggled badly). The rest of the pitchers would get one inning each (unless they struggled badly). The position players were replaced every three innings. No pinch hitters here, (as in previous tries, the pinch hitter is taken out of the game). The DH's (Mark McGwire of the NL and Frank Thomas of the AL) were never replaced.

The starting lineups, first for the National League (I'm using 2001 Topps cards because these are the cards I used to represent the players on my All-Star teams):


Now the American League starting lineup:


Here is the result:


The 2000 AL All-Stars beat the 2000 NL All-Stars by a final score of 14-6 in a romp.

The box score is below (Just click on the picture to take a closer look.


The scoring plays were as follows:

Bottom 1: Glavine pitching. Roberto Alomar walks. Ivan Rodriguez reaches first on an error by Barry Larkin (E6), Alomar advances to third. Alex Rodriguez strikes out. Frank Thomas doubles, Alomar scoring, I. Rodriguez advances to third. Bernie Williams reaches on an error by Ken Griffey, I. Rodriguez scoring, Thomas scoring, Williams advances to second.

Top 2: Clemens pitching. Mark McGwire walks. Ken Griffey singles, McGwire advances to second. Mike Piazza walks, McGwire advances to third, Griffey advances to second. Barry Bonds walks, McGwire scoring, Griffey advances to third, Piazza advances to second. Todd Helton hits a sacrifice fly to Bernie Williams (SAC 8), Griffey scoring.

Bottom 4: Darryl Kile pitching. Greg Vaughn walks. Magglio Ordoñez doubles, Vaughn scoring. Dean Palmer doubles, Ordoñez scoring. Ray Durham strikes out. Jorge Posada singles, Palmer scoring.

Top 5: David Wells pitching. Jeff Bagwell singles. Eric Young flies out to Greg Vaughn (7). Edgar Renteria doubles, Bagwell scoring.

Bottom 5: Al Leiter pitching. Carl Everett reaches second on an error by Andruw Jones (E8). Carlos Delgado strikes out. Greg Vaughn reaches on an error by Jeff Bagwell (E3), Everett scoring. Magglio Ordoñez walks, Vaughn advances to second. Dean Palmer hits a home run, Ordoñez scoring, Vaughn scoring.

Top 6: Wells pitching. Mark McGwire grounds out to Derek Jeter (6-3). Andruw Jones doubles. Javy Lopez doubles, A. Jones scoring. Gary Sheffield singles, Lopez scoring.

Bottom 6: Armando Benitez pitching. Frank Thomas reaches on an error by Scott Rolen (E5). Carl Everett hits a home run, Thomas scoring.

Bottom 7: Antonio Alfonseca pitching. Darrin Fletcher singles. Randy Velarde singles, Fletcher advances to second. Nomar Garciaparra flies out to Geoff Jenkins (7). Frank Thomas singles, Fletcher advances to third, Velarde advances to second. Garret Anderson singles, Fletcher scoring, Velarde scoring.

Top 8: Mariano Rivera pitching. Mark McGwire hits a home run.

Your starters, Tom Glavine and Roger Clemens. Dean Palmer is the MVP.

So the AL finally beats up on their NL rivals, not only using the home run to their advantage, but thanks to poor defense by usually surehanded fielders. If this game actually existed, the MVP award would have gone to Dean Palmer (2-3, 1 hr, 4 rbi). Tim Hudson takes the win (although it should have gone to Clemens), Tom Glavine gets the loss, and the only players who didn't get in the game were pitchers Mike Hampton & Trevor Hoffman from the NL and Bartolo Colon, Derek Lowe, & Mike Mussina from the AL.

If you want to see the .DAT files that I used (I still don't know how to download these onto the blog , so please just take a look at the screen caps below). If anyone can e-mail me instructions, please do so at bdj610@hotmail.com. Below is the NL .DAT file, then the AL .DAT file:




Now that the 2000 All-Star Games are officially over, at 9:00 AM CST on Wednesday, I will introduce the 2001 End of Year All-Star teams. Simulations for games with those rosters to come hopefully by Sunday night.

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

Random Topps Card of the Day: 2005 Topps Updates & Highlights #UH251 Pedro Lopez

Thanks to the Topps Card Randomizer, introducing the Random Topps Card of the Day for Tuesday, February 9, 2010:


  • Official Card Set Name and Card Number: 2005 Topps Updates & Highlights #251.
  • Player Name, position, team: Pedro Lopez, shortstop, Chicago White Sox.
  • Major League Debut: May 01, 2005.
  • Last Line of Statistics: 2005 stats (minors): 123 G, 427 AB, 40 R, 95 H, 13 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 41 RBI. 1 SB, 20 BB, 53 SO, .300 SLG, .565 OPS, .222 AVG.
  • Any special information about player: Signed by White Sox as a Free Agent 09/14/2000. Bats: right, Throws: right.
  • Any special information about this specific card: Lopez' first regular Topps card (his rookie card). The 2005 Topps design was one of the best designs of the decade. Big last name on top, as well as a big team logo below the picture made for easy sorting. This is also Lopez' only regular Topps card (he does appear in 2006 Co-signers, but that doesn't count here). He played sparingly for the ChiSox in 2005 (so you can say he's a World Champ!!!) and last appeared in the majors in 2007 with the Cincinnati Reds. In 2009, he played for both the Altoona Curve (AA) and Indianapolis Indians (AAA), both minor league teams for the Pittsburgh Pirates. The blurb on the back states that Pedro "recorded both a hit and an RBI in each of his first two MLB games.
  • Lo-Hi Beckett value: $0.20-$0.50.
  • How many cards of this player do I own?: 1 card.
Tomorrow's card will be: 2009 Topps #559. Post will arrive at 1:00 PM CST. We're looking back at a card from last year's set on the blog tomorrow.

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

Monday, February 8, 2010

Random Topps Card of the Day: 2003 Topps #270 Clint Hurdle

We've reset the Topps Card Randomizer to come up with seven new cards to present for this week. Introducing the Random Topps Card of the Day for Monday, February 8, 2010:


  • Official Card Set Name and Card Number: 2003 Topps #270.
  • Player Name, position, team: Clint Hurdle, manager, Colorado Rockies.
  • Major League Debut: September 18, 1977. Managerial Debut: April 26, 2002.
  • Last Line of Statistics: 2002 stats (Rockies): 73-89 managerial record.
  • Any special information about manager: Promoted to Manager 04/26/2002.
  • Any special information about this specific card: Hurdle's eighth regular Topps card, first as a manager (total includes both Topps and Topps Traded cards). Previously discussed before, the 2003 Blue Bordered set is prone to chipping. Hurdle was promoted from Hitting Coach to Manager. As manager, the Rockies proceeded to win six straight games. He led the 2007 Rockies through an incredible 14-1 run to win the NL Wild Card, a 3-0 sweep over the Phillies in the NLDS, and a 4-0 sweep over the Diamondbacks in the NLCS. So until the World Series, the Rockies were on an incredible 21-1 swing. Hurdle was let go during the 2009 season after the Rockies started the season with an 18-28 start.
  • Lo-Hi Beckett value: $0.07-$0.20.
  • How many cards of this player do I own?: 14 cards.
Tomorrow's card will be: 2005 Topps Updates and Highlights #UH251 . Post will arrive at 1:00 PM CST. See you then.

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Random Topps Card of the Day: 1971 Topps #170 Mike Cuellar

It's Retro Sunday!!! Thanks to the Topps Card Randomizer, introducing the Random Topps Card of the Day for Sunday, February 7, 2010:


  • Official Card Set Name and Card Number: 1971 Topps #170.
  • Player Name, position, team: Mike Cuellar, pitcher, Baltimore Orioles.
  • Major League Debut: April 18, 1959.
  • Last Line of Statistics: 1970 stats (Orioles): 40 G, 297 IP, 24-8, .750 PCT, 273 H, 126 R, 115 ER, 190 SO, 69 BB, 3.48 ERA.
  • Any special information about player: Signed by Redlegs as a Free Agent before 1957. Traded by the Astros to the Orioles 12/04/1968. Bats: left, Throws: right.
  • Any special information about this specific card: Cuellar's ninth regular Topps card (this doesn't include variations or league leader cards). Ahhh, the 1971 set. Infamous black borders (this before the infamous 2007 set). Rare is it that you'll find any cards in this set in near mint condition. The black borders chip very easily on these cards. But you all knew that already. Anyway, Cuellar was one of three O's hurlers to win 20 games in 1970, helping the Orioles to a World Series win. The blurb (which is a full caption) on the back states that he hit a game winning grand slam in the ALCS, and won the final game of the WS against the Reds. This was the first time Topps included a player portrait (albeit black and white) on the backs of the cards. Prior to this, it was almost always a cartoon.
  • Lo-Hi Beckett value: $0.75-$2.00.
  • How many cards of this player do I own?: 7 cards.
In case you're actually wondering, I don't own this card, but was able to get a crystal clean copy of the image from the from the Baseball Card Cyber Museum. So thank you Joe McAnally and the folks at the BCCM. (You have to stop by and visit them now. They just announced that they are allowing more people to enter the museum at one time.)

Well, it's back to normal on Monday. Tomorrow's card will be: 2003 Topps #270. Post will arrive at 1:00 PM CST. Come on back then to see what the Topps Card Randomizer gets us to look at then.

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

Saturday, February 6, 2010

Random Topps Card of the Day: 1983 Topps #329 Randy Niemann

Thanks to the Topps Card Randomizer, introducing the Random Topps Card of the Day for Saturday, February 6, 2010:


  • Official Card Set Name and Card Number: 1983 Topps #329.
  • Player Name, position, team: Randy Niemann, pitcher, Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Major League Debut: May 20, 1979.
  • Last Line of Statistics: 1982 stats (Pirates): 20 G, 35.1 IP, 1-1, 22 R, 20 ER, 26 SO, 17 BB, 0 GS, 0 CG, 0 SHO, 1 SV, 5.09 ERA.
  • Any special information about player: Drafted by Yankees #18th June 1975. Traded by the Astros to the Pirates 09/09/1981. Bats: left, Throws: left.
  • Any special information about this specific card: Niemann's third second regular Topps card (this total includes regular and traded cards only). As Niemann had only three lines of MLB stats (two years with the Astros and one with the Pirates), his minor league statistics are included on the back of the card. The blurb below the stats highlights his scoreless relief stint at St. Louis on 08/03/1982. He had many other scoreless innings in 1982. Why did they pick this game? And also because I wasn't really following the game in 1982, what's with the stars on the hat? Does it symbolize anything? Or did all Pirates caps have four stars on them?
  • Lo-Hi Beckett value: $0.05-$0.15.
  • How many cards of this player do I own?: 5 cards.
Tomorrow is Retro Sunday, the one day of the week that we feature a card from 1951-1975. The card we will feature tomorrow is: 1971 Topps #170. Come back at 1:00 PM CST to see who it is.

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

Friday, February 5, 2010

Random Topps Card of the Day: 2000 Topps #185 Jay Bell

Thanks to the Topps Card Randomizer, introducing the Random Topps Card of the Day for Friday, February 5, 2010:


  • Official Card Set Name and Card Number: 2000 Topps #185.
  • Player Name, position, team: Jay Bell, second baseman, Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Major League Debut: September 29, 1986.
  • Last Line of Statistics: 1999 stats (Diamondbacks): 151 G, 589 AB, 132 R, 170 H, 32 2B, 6 3B, 38 HR, 112 RBI, 7 SB, .557 SLG, 82 BB, 132 SO, .289 AVG.
  • Any special information about player: Drafted by Twins #1st, June 1984. Signed by the Diamondbacks as a Free Agent 11/17/1997. Bats: right, Throws: right.
  • Any special information about this specific card: Bell's thirteenth regular Topps card (total includes regular and traded Topps rookie card). The long time Pirates shortstop, spent a year with the Royals before joining the Diamondbacks at the end of the 1997 season. Became the Diamondback's second baseman. The 2000 set is known for it's gray/silver borders, the team-colored field with the words "Topps 2000" in gold foil. The backs of the players cards are vertical, something not seen since 1993. The blurb below the stats says that Jay set his team's positional home run record for the last three years, which is kind of easy to do in the D'Back's case since he was with the team for its first two years of existence.
  • Lo-Hi Beckett value: $0.07-$0.20.
  • How many cards of this player do I own?: 18 cards.
Tomorrow's card will be: 1983 Topps #329. Post will arrive at 1:00 PM CST. Join us then, won't you?

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama

A Quick Response to Bo

Bo just made a comment asking me if I knew that the Luis Castillo "Pieing" was an internet joke.

I could lie and say yes, as later research indicates that of the 15 Yankees Walk Off wins, there was no Pie in the game involving the Mets second baseman dropping the ball.

I mean think of it this way, both Burnett and Castillo were teammates with the Marlins (the same Marlins who beat these Yankees in the WS in 2003), so it's not as if they didn't know each other before. So it wouldn't have surprised me one bit if this actually happened.

But the official answer is, no, I didn't realize it was an internet joke (now I have pie in my face...go figure). But (being ever so sarcastic here mind you), don't put it past Topps to whip one up anyway (pun intended).

Sincerely,

JayBee Anama